METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
49%
Lemos
51%
Robertson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Gillian RobertsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Amanda Lemos · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Robertson
→
Actual result
Robertson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lemos at 49% vs Robertson at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Robertson throws more volume but Lemos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lemos's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Robertson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LemosRobertson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lemos
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"+
Reach
63"
39
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lemos
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
59.1
49.6
Performance Avg
55.0
43
Quality of Victory
45
85
Momentum Score
74
Lemos
Robertson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance3
1Clinch1
0Ground1
Lemos
Robertson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lemos
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Lemos
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Lemos
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
71%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
7
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lemos
Robertson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
LemosRobertson
Strike Zones
Lemos
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRobertson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lemos targets the head (86% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lemos
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0
Lemos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lemos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 5.4Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R2
Virna JandirobaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01