UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
49%
Lemos
51%
Robertson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Amanda
Amanda Lemos
15 – 6
5'4"65" reachSouthpaw39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Gillian
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
17 – 8
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak31 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'5"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Robertson

This is a genuine toss-up — Lemos at 49% vs Robertson at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Robertson throws more volume but Lemos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lemos's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Robertson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lemos
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"+
Reach
63"
39
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lemos
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
59.1
49.6
Performance Avg
55.0
43
Quality of Victory
45
85
Momentum Score
74
Lemos
Robertson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance3
1Clinch1
0Ground1
Lemos
Robertson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lemos
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Lemos
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Lemos
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
71%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
7
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lemos
Robertson
Striking4.5 / 3.5Volume4.8 / 3.7Grappling2.8 / 4.7Wrestling2.0 / 3.3Submission2.2 / 5.0Pressure5.7 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Lemos
Strike Zones
Robertson
Lemos
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Robertson
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lemos targets the head (86% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lemos
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0

Lemos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L5.0W5.3W5.0W5.0W4.6W2.3L5.2W5.9W7.3L5.7W2.8L5.4W7.4L6.7L2017-072021-072022-112025-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Robertson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.9W2.1L5.6W5.2W2.5L5.5W4.5W5.7L6.3L6.0W6.1L5.5W6.0W6.2L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W2017-122019-102021-122024-012026-03
WinLossTrend

Lemos · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R2
Virna JandirobaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Robertson · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Amanda Lemos · Gillian Robertson
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