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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Lightweight
VS
51%
Solecki
49%
Gordon
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Joe
Joe Solecki
136
5'9"70" reachOrthodox33 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Jared
Jared Gordon
"Flash"
219
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 42
★ Official Result
Jared GordonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Solecki · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Solecki
Actual result
Gordon wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Solecki at 51% vs Gordon at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SoleckiGordon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Solecki
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"+
Reach
68"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Solecki
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
42.1
43.6
Performance Avg
42.8
36
Quality of Victory
36
65
Momentum Score
63
Solecki
Gordon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
3.9
5.9
Style: Volume
6.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
17
5
Body
10
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
22Distance30
3Clinch4
0Ground0
Solecki
Gordon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Solecki
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Solecki
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Solecki
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Solecki
Gordon
Striking1.1 / 4.4Volume5.9 / 6.4Grappling4.6 / 1.6Wrestling3.3 / 1.1Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Solecki
Strike Zones
Gordon
Solecki
Attacking
19HEAD5BODY1LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD10BODY7LEGS34 absorbed
Gordon
Attacking
17HEAD10BODY7LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD5BODY1LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Solecki targets the head (76% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (50% of attacks) — Solecki absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Solecki
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0

Solecki · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
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Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Grant Dawson
Decision
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L · KO · R1
Drakkar Klose
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Sub · R2
Carl Deaton
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da Silva
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06

Gordon · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jim Miller
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Rafa Garcia
KO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago Moises
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat Haqparast
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark Madsen
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Joe Solecki · Jared Gordon
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