UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Lightweight
VS
54%
Solecki
46%
Gordon
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Joe
Joe Solecki
13 – 6
5'9"70" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Jared
Jared Gordon
"Flash"
21 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Solecki

This is a genuine toss-up — Solecki at 54% vs Gordon at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Solecki
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"+
Reach
68"
32+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Solecki
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
42.1
43.6
Performance Avg
42.8
36
Quality of Victory
36
65
Momentum Score
63
Solecki
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
17
5
Body
10
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
22Distance30
3Clinch4
0Ground0
Solecki
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Solecki
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Solecki
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Solecki
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Solecki
Gordon
Striking1.1 / 4.4Volume5.9 / 6.4Grappling4.6 / 1.6Wrestling3.3 / 1.1Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Solecki
Strike Zones
Gordon
Solecki
Attacking
19HEAD5BODY1LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD10BODY7LEGS34 absorbed
Gordon
Attacking
17HEAD10BODY7LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD5BODY1LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Solecki targets the head (76% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (50% of attacks) — Solecki absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Solecki
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0

Solecki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.0W4.9W5.9L4.5W5.2W2.5L7.0L6.8L2019-122021-102023-122025-01
WinLossTrend

Gordon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W2.5L4.6L4.5W2.9L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.6W7.2L5.2W6.2L5.2W4.8L1.9L2017-062019-112022-082025-092026-05
WinLossTrend

Solecki · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nurullo AlievRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Drakkar KloseRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Sub · R2
Carl DeatonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06

Gordon · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Joe Solecki · Jared Gordon
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