UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
San Diego, USA
15 Jul 2015
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Mir
54%
Duffee
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Duffee
This is a genuine toss-up — Mir at 46% vs Duffee at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Duffee throws more volume but Mir connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Mir's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Duffee has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mir
Duffee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
78"
47
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mir
Duffee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
24.5
57.4
Performance Avg
60.0
56
Quality of Victory
60
88
Momentum Score
98
Mir
Duffee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
3.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
8
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
7Clinch2
1Ground0
Mir
Duffee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mir
Duffee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/29 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Mir
Duffee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Mir
Duffee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
81%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
8
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mir
Duffee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
MirDuffee
Strike Zones
Mir
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedDuffee
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mir targets the head (94% of attacks) — Duffee absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Duffee targets the head (89% of attacks) — Mir absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mir
RND
Duffee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Duffee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Mir · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 5.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Duffee · Last 5
Upcoming
Jeff HughesUFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Philip De FriesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R3
Mike RussowRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05