UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
Washington, USA
7 Dec 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
62%
Rodriguez
38%
Calvillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
Rodriguez holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Calvillo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Calvillo throws more volume but Rodriguez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Calvillo has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rodriguez
Calvillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
65"+
Reach
64"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Calvillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
29.8
41.7
Performance Avg
42.8
34
Quality of Victory
38
83
Momentum Score
25
Rodriguez
Calvillo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
34
3
Body
9
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground42
Rodriguez
Calvillo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Calvillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
48
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
13/15 fights
Rodriguez
Calvillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
25
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Calvillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Calvillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
RodriguezCalvillo
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedCalvillo
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the body (60% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Calvillo targets the head (77% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Calvillo
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Calvillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Calvillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11