UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
Newark, USA
27 Mar 2010
Lightweight
VS
72%
Miller
28%
Bocek
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
MB
Mark Bocek
12 – 5
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'8"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

Miller is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Bocek connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bocek has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Bocek
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
+75"
42+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Bocek
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
16.8
51.5
Performance Avg
47.6
45
Quality of Victory
38
28
Momentum Score
48
Miller
Bocek
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
2
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance3
3Clinch4
0Ground0
Miller
Bocek
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Bocek
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Miller
Bocek
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
48
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Miller
Bocek
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
14
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Bocek
Striking3.4 / 1.2Volume3.5 / 5.2Grappling4.7 / 5.2Wrestling3.3 / 3.6Submission5.0 / 5.0Pressure6.8 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
Miller
Strike Zones
Bocek
Miller
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY4LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY3LEGS7 absorbed
Bocek
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY3LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY4LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (58% of attacks) — Bocek absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Bocek targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Bocek
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Bocek · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W4.0L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.9L5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.7L4.5W2007-072009-042011-042014-04
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Bocek · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Mike de la TorreRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
John AlessioRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Benson HendersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

News & Media

Jim Miller · Mark Bocek
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