Andrei Arlovski vs Martin Buday — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2

Las Vegas, USA

29 Jun 2024

Heavyweight

47%

Arlovski

53%

Buday

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Andrei Arlovski

"The Pitbull"

34 – 24

6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 49

Martin Buday

"Badys"

16 – 2

Well-Rounded3-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"

CFR 55

★ Official Result

Martin BudaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Andrei Arlovski · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Buday

→

Actual result

Buday wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 47% vs Buday at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Arlovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ArlovskiBuday

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Arlovski

Buday

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"

Height

+6'4"

77"

Reach

77"

Age

+34

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Arlovski

Buday

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

49.1

54.5

50.5

Performance Avg

52.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Arlovski

Buday

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.0

/ 10

1.8

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

3.6

5.3

Style: Volume

8.6

9 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

23Distance11

10Clinch13

0Ground0

Arlovski

Buday

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.9

/ 10

3.2

/ 10

1.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.2

0.9

Submission Style (/10)

1.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Arlovski

Buday

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.8 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

42/58 fights

Chin rating based on

8/18 fights

Arlovski

Buday

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

W · Sub · R1

Arlovski

Buday

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

48%

14%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski

Buday

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.8

1.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.2

1.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.2

0.9

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.4

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.6

5.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.6

Arlovski

Strike Zones

Buday

Arlovski

Attacking

33 landed

Absorbing

24 absorbed

Buday

Attacking

24 landed

Absorbing

33 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Arlovski targets the body (42% of attacks) — Buday absorbs 42% of strikes there

🎯Buday targets the body (54% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski

RND

Buday

0/0R00/0

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Martin Buday

Decision

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

L · Dec · R3

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Decision

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Don'Tale Mayes

KO/TKO

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L · Sub · R1

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Submission

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Jake Collier

Decision

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Buday · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Marcus Buchecha

Decision

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W · Dec · R3

Uran Satybaldiev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04

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Andrei Arlovski

Decision

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

L · KO · R2

Shamil Gaziev

KO/TKO

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

W · Sub · R1

Josh Parisian

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Martin Buday

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