UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Arlovski
53%
Buday
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Martin
Martin Buday
"Badys"
16 – 2
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Buday

This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 47% vs Buday at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Arlovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Buday has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Arlovski
Buday
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
47
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Buday
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
54.5
50.5
Performance Avg
52.5
47
Quality of Victory
29
94
Momentum Score
78
Arlovski
Buday
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
9 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
11
14
Body
13
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance11
10Clinch13
0Ground0
Arlovski
Buday
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Buday
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Arlovski
Buday
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
78
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Arlovski
Buday
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
14%
9
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Buday
Striking5.0 / 1.8Volume5.3 / 8.6Grappling1.9 / 3.2Wrestling1.4 / 2.2Submission0.9 / 1.4Pressure5.0 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Buday
Arlovski
Attacking
12HEAD14BODY7LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD13BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Buday
Attacking
11HEAD13BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD14BODY7LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the body (42% of attacks) — Buday absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Buday targets the body (54% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Buday
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Buday · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W3.4L5.2W5.8W4.5W2022-042023-042023-122025-042025-07
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
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Buday · Last 5

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Marcus BuchechaRating 4.5
Decision
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Decision
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KO/TKO
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News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Martin Buday
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