METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jan 2022
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Collier
53%
Sherman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:26
★ Official Result
Jake CollierwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:26
def. Chase Sherman · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sherman
→
Actual result
Collier wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Collier at 47% vs Sherman at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Collier's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sherman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CollierSherman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Collier
Sherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
78"
Reach
78"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Collier
Sherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.7
30.1
36.4
Performance Avg
38.4
37
Quality of Victory
46
45
Momentum Score
46
Collier
Sherman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
6.0
5.5
Style: Volume
2.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
8
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance10
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Collier
Sherman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Collier
Sherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Collier
Sherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
46
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Collier
Sherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Collier
Sherman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
CollierSherman
Strike Zones
Collier
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedSherman
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Collier targets the head (90% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Sherman targets the head (80% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Collier
RND
Sherman
0/0R00/0
Collier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Jake CollierSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01