UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jan 2022
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Collier
53%
Sherman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:26
JC
Jake Collier
"The Prototype"
13 – 10
6'3"78" reachOrthodox37 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 27
Chase
Chase Sherman
"The Vanilla Gorilla"
16 – 12
Striker2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 30

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sherman

This is a genuine toss-up — Collier at 47% vs Sherman at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sherman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Collier's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sherman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Collier
Sherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
78"
Reach
78"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Collier
Sherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.7
30.1
36.4
Performance Avg
38.4
37
Quality of Victory
46
45
Momentum Score
46
Collier
Sherman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
8
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance10
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Collier
Sherman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.6
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Collier
Sherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Collier
Sherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
46
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Collier
Sherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Collier
Sherman
Striking2.7 / 8.0Volume5.5 / 2.5Grappling3.0 / 0.6Wrestling2.1 / 0.4Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Collier
Strike Zones
Sherman
Collier
Attacking
18HEAD2BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Sherman
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD2BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Collier targets the head (90% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Sherman targets the head (80% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Collier
RND
Sherman
0/0R00/0

Collier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W3.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W6.2L3.8L6.5L6.5L2014-122017-042021-062023-042023-09
WinLossTrend

Sherman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L2.8L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.5L4.2L5.2W6.2L5.5L1.5L2.3L5.5W7.0L6.0L2016-082017-112021-042022-072023-05
WinLossTrend

Collier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

Sherman · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Jake CollierRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Jake Collier · Chase Sherman
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