UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Auckland, New Zealand
22 Feb 2020
Welterweight
VS
85%
Matthews
15%
Meek
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Matthews
Matthews is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Matthews has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Matthews has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Matthews
Meek
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+74"
31+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Matthews
Meek
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.4
9.9
48.3
Performance Avg
25.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
22
Matthews
Meek
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
22
0
Body
8
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance14
3Clinch17
0Ground2
Matthews
Meek
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Matthews
Meek
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Matthews
Meek
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Matthews
Meek
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matthews
Meek
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MatthewsMeek
Strike Zones
Matthews
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedMeek
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (100% of attacks) — Meek absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Meek targets the head (67% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matthews
RND
Meek
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Matthews · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Meek · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Matthews · Last 5
Upcoming
Muslim SalikhovUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.6Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Meek · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 4.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12