METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Auckland, New Zealand
22 Feb 2020
Welterweight
VS
85%
Matthews
15%
Meek
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jake MatthewswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Emil Meek · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Matthews
→
Actual result
Matthews wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Matthews is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Matthews has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MatthewsMeek
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Matthews
Meek
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+74"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Matthews
Meek
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.2
9.9
48.4
Performance Avg
25.0
36
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
22
Matthews
Meek
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
0.8
5.3
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
22
0
Body
8
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance14
3Clinch17
0Ground2
Matthews
Meek
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Matthews
Meek
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Matthews
Meek
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Matthews
Meek
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matthews
Meek
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MatthewsMeek
Strike Zones
Matthews
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedMeek
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (100% of attacks) — Meek absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Meek targets the head (67% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matthews
RND
Meek
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Matthews · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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