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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy
Pittsburgh, USA
21 Feb 2016
Featherweight
VS
47%
Bermudez
53%
Kawajiri
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DB
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
17 – 9
5'6"66" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
TK
Tatsuya Kawajiri
"Crusher"
36 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Dennis BermudezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tatsuya Kawajiri · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kawajiri
→
Actual result
Bermudez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Bermudez at 47% vs Kawajiri at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BermudezKawajiri
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bermudez
Kawajiri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+69"
39+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Kawajiri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
16.1
43.2
Performance Avg
39.9
33
Quality of Victory
33
50
Momentum Score
55
Bermudez
Kawajiri
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
0.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
36%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
5Clinch1
5Ground0
Bermudez
Kawajiri
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Kawajiri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/47 fights
Bermudez
Kawajiri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
55
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bermudez
Kawajiri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bermudez
Kawajiri
Striking2.2 / 1.0Volume6.8 / 6.3Grappling3.3 / 4.3Wrestling2.3 / 3.0Submission2.0 / 3.3Pressure3.9 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Bermudez
Strike Zones
Kawajiri
Bermudez
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Kawajiri
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (79% of attacks) — Kawajiri absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Kawajiri targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bermudez
RND
Kawajiri
0/0R00/0

Bermudez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.6W4.5W5.5W5.7W1.5L4.5L4.5W4.5W2.0L6.0L6.2L5.6L4.5W2011-122013-112016-022018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Kawajiri · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W6.0L4.5W4.5W5.5L6.0L2014-012014-042015-062015-122016-022016-08
WinLossTrend

Bermudez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02

Kawajiri · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Jason KnightRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04

News & Media

Dennis Bermudez · Tatsuya Kawajiri
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