UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Buenos Aires, Argentina
17 Nov 2018
Middleweight
VS
41%
Ferreira
59%
Heinisch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
13 – 8
6'1"78" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
IH
Ian Heinisch
"The Hurricane"
14 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Heinisch

This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 41% vs Heinisch at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Heinisch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ferreira
Heinisch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
72"
41
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ferreira
Heinisch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
23.7
49.5
Performance Avg
39.1
43
Quality of Victory
37
58
Momentum Score
50
Ferreira
Heinisch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
26
1
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance14
4Clinch13
0Ground2
Ferreira
Heinisch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ferreira
Heinisch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Ferreira
Heinisch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ferreira
Heinisch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira
Heinisch
Striking1.2 / 4.2Volume6.5 / 6.2Grappling4.3 / 1.6Wrestling3.0 / 1.1Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Ferreira
Strike Zones
Heinisch
Ferreira
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD2BODY1LEGS29 absorbed
Heinisch
Attacking
26HEAD2BODY1LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (73% of attacks) — Heinisch absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Heinisch targets the head (90% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira
RND
Heinisch
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.7W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L6.3L2012-062014-062016-072018-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Heinisch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.8L5.5L6.1W5.8L4.2L2018-112019-082020-062021-07
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

Heinisch · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

Cezar Ferreira · Ian Heinisch
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