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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Buenos Aires, Argentina
17 Nov 2018
Middleweight
VS
52%
Ferreira
48%
Heinisch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
13 – 8
6'1"78" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
IH
Ian Heinisch
"The Hurricane"
14 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Ian HeinischwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cezar Ferreira · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ferreira
→
Actual result
Heinisch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 52% vs Heinisch at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FerreiraHeinisch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ferreira
Heinisch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
72"
41
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ferreira
Heinisch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
15.1
49.5
Performance Avg
39.1
43
Quality of Victory
37
58
Momentum Score
50
Ferreira
Heinisch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
3.6
6.5
Style: Volume
6.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
26
1
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance14
4Clinch13
0Ground2
Ferreira
Heinisch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ferreira
Heinisch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Ferreira
Heinisch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ferreira
Heinisch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira
Heinisch
Striking1.2 / 4.2Volume6.5 / 6.2Grappling4.3 / 1.6Wrestling3.0 / 1.1Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Ferreira
Strike Zones
Heinisch
Ferreira
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD2BODY1LEGS29 absorbed
Heinisch
Attacking
26HEAD2BODY1LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (73% of attacks) — Heinisch absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Heinisch targets the head (90% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira
RND
Heinisch
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin Vettori
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian Heinisch
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl Roberson
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate Marquardt
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias Theodorou
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

Heinisch · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nassourdine Imavov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin Gastelum
Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald Meerschaert
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Omari Akhmedov
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Derek Brunson
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

Cezar Ferreira · Ian Heinisch
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