METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Buenos Aires, Argentina
17 Nov 2018
Middleweight
VS
41%
Ferreira
59%
Heinisch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ian HeinischwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cezar Ferreira · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Heinisch
→
Actual result
Heinisch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 41% vs Heinisch at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Heinisch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FerreiraHeinisch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ferreira
Heinisch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
72"
41
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ferreira
Heinisch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
23.7
49.5
Performance Avg
39.1
43
Quality of Victory
37
58
Momentum Score
50
Ferreira
Heinisch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
1.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
26
1
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance14
4Clinch13
0Ground2
Ferreira
Heinisch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ferreira
Heinisch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Ferreira
Heinisch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ferreira
Heinisch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ferreira
Heinisch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
FerreiraHeinisch
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedHeinisch
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (73% of attacks) — Heinisch absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Heinisch targets the head (90% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ferreira
RND
Heinisch
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ferreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Heinisch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Ferreira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
Heinisch · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08