UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Bantamweight
VS
77%
Grant
23%
Stasiak
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:56
Davey
Davey Grant
"Dangerous"
18 – 8
5'8"69" reachOrthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 52
DS
Damian Stasiak
"Webster"
10 – 6
Submission Hunter3-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'5"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Grant

Grant is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Stasiak has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Grant has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Grant's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Grant
Stasiak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
69"
Reach
+70"
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Stasiak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
15.4
44.2
Performance Avg
43.0
36
Quality of Victory
50
85
Momentum Score
13
Grant
Stasiak
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Grant
Stasiak
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Stasiak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Grant
Stasiak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
13
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Grant
Stasiak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Grant
Stasiak
Striking4.5 / 0.7Volume5.6 / 0.7Grappling2.2 / 8.0Wrestling1.6 / 5.6Submission1.1 / 10.0Pressure4.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Grant
Strike Zones
Stasiak
Grant
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Stasiak
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stasiak absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Stasiak targets the head (100% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Grant
RND
Stasiak
0/0R00/0

Grant · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0102.8L5.3W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5W5.8W6.3L6.9L5.5W5.5W6.8L4.5W5.5W2.3L4.5W2013-112019-112021-112024-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Stasiak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.0W6.3W6.0L4.3L5.5L2015-042016-042016-102017-052017-102018-07
WinLossTrend

Grant · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Adrian Luna MartinettiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Stasiak · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Pingyuan LiuRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
W · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Sub · R1
Filip PejicRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04

News & Media

Davey Grant · Damian Stasiak
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