UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
96%
Ulberg
4%
Cherant
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ulberg
Ulberg is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 71 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ulberg has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Ulberg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cherant has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ulberg
Cherant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ulberg
Cherant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.9
2.8
68.2
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Ulberg
Cherant
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.5
0.8
58%
Strike Accuracy
49%
7.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
7
Body
0
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ulberg
Cherant
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ulberg
Cherant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Ulberg
Cherant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Ulberg
Cherant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ulberg
Cherant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
UlbergCherant
Strike Zones
Ulberg
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedCherant
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ulberg targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Cherant absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Cherant targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ulberg
RND
Cherant
0/0R00/0
Ulberg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Cherant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Ulberg · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Cherant · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · KO · R1
William KnightRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
L · Sub · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03