UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
1 Feb 2025
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Pavlovich
49%
Rozenstruik
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Sergei
Sergei Pavlovich
20 – 3
6'3"84" reachSouthpaw34 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 60
Jairzinho
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
15 – 6
Knockout Artist38 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pavlovich

This is a genuine toss-up — Pavlovich at 51% vs Rozenstruik at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Pavlovich throws more volume but Rozenstruik connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pavlovich's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rozenstruik has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pavlovich
Rozenstruik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
84"+
Reach
78"
34+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Pavlovich
Rozenstruik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
57.0
60.6
Performance Avg
56.7
53
Quality of Victory
54
59
Momentum Score
56
Pavlovich
Rozenstruik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
53%
8.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pavlovich
Rozenstruik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pavlovich
Rozenstruik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Pavlovich
Rozenstruik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
56
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Pavlovich
Rozenstruik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
89%
6
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pavlovich
Rozenstruik
Striking8.9 / 10.0Volume3.5 / 2.1Grappling0.6 / 0.3Wrestling0.4 / 0.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Pavlovich
Strike Zones
Rozenstruik
Pavlovich
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Rozenstruik
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pavlovich targets the head (91% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pavlovich absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pavlovich
RND
Rozenstruik
0/0R00/0

Pavlovich · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0101.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W6.2W5.4W5.9W3.9L6.8L5.6W6.0W2018-112022-032023-042025-022025-08
WinLossTrend

Rozenstruik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.7W5.5W1.9L5.2W7.2L5.2W6.4L2.8L5.3W3.3L6.0W4.9W6.7L2019-022020-052021-092024-032025-02
WinLossTrend

Pavlovich · Last 5

Upcoming
Tallison Teixeira
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

Rozenstruik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

News & Media

Sergei Pavlovich · Jairzinho Rozenstruik
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