John Lineker vs Alptekin Ozkilic — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller

Atlantic City, USA

16 Jul 2014

Flyweight

72%

Lineker

28%

Ozkilic

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 4:51

John Lineker

"Hands of Stone"

31 – 9

5'3"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsStriker

CFR 22

Alptekin Ozkilic

"The Turkish Delight"

9 – 5

Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"

CFR 8

★ Official Result

John LinekerwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:51

def. Alptekin Ozkilic · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Lineker

→

Actual result

Lineker wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Lineker is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lineker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Risk flags

Ozkilic has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

LinekerOzkilic

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Lineker

Ozkilic

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'3"

Height

+5'5"

67"+

Reach

65"

36+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Lineker

Ozkilic

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

21.8

8.4

56.0

Performance Avg

25.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Lineker

Ozkilic

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.5

/ 10

0.5

/ 10

6.3

Style: Pressure

0.8

4.8

Style: Volume

8.5

6 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

65Distance36

3Clinch1

2Ground0

Lineker

Ozkilic

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.7

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

1.2

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

0.8

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Lineker

Ozkilic

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

16/40 fights

Chin rating based on

4/14 fights

Lineker

Ozkilic

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Lineker

Ozkilic

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

58%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lineker

Ozkilic

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.5

1.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

1.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

0.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.8

4.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.5

Lineker

Strike Zones

Ozkilic

Lineker

Attacking

70 landed

Absorbing

37 absorbed

Ozkilic

Attacking

37 landed

Absorbing

70 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Lineker targets the head (64% of attacks) — Ozkilic absorbs 64% of strikes there

🎯Ozkilic targets the head (89% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lineker

RND

Ozkilic

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Lineker · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Cory Sandhagen

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04

W · KO · R3

Brian Kelleher

KO/TKO

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05

W · Dec · R3

Marlon Vera

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10

L · Dec · R3

TJ Dillashaw

Decision

UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

W · Dec · R5

John Dodson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

Ozkilic · Last 4

L · KO · R1

Ben Nguyen

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05

L · KO · R3

John Lineker

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07

L · Dec · R3

Louis Smolka

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01

W · Dec · R3

Darren Uyenoyama

Decision

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12

News & Media

John Lineker · Alptekin Ozkilic

← Back to fights