UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Atlantic City, USA
16 Jul 2014
Flyweight
VS
72%
Lineker
28%
Ozkilic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:51
JL
John Lineker
"Hands of Stone"
31 – 9
5'3"67" reachOrthodox35 yrsStriker
CFR 22
AO
Alptekin Ozkilic
"The Turkish Delight"
9 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 8

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lineker

Lineker is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lineker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Lineker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ozkilic has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lineker
Ozkilic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
67"+
Reach
65"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lineker
Ozkilic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.8
8.4
56.0
Performance Avg
25.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
83
Momentum Score
17
Lineker
Ozkilic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
31%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
45
Head
33
22
Body
4
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
65Distance36
3Clinch1
2Ground0
Lineker
Ozkilic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lineker
Ozkilic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Lineker
Ozkilic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
17
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lineker
Ozkilic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lineker
Ozkilic
Striking6.5 / 0.5Volume4.8 / 8.5Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission0.8 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Lineker
Strike Zones
Ozkilic
Lineker
Attacking
45HEAD22BODY3LEGS70 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD4BODY0LEGS37 absorbed
Ozkilic
Attacking
33HEAD4BODY0LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
45HEAD22BODY3LEGS70 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lineker targets the head (64% of attacks) — Ozkilic absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Ozkilic targets the head (89% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lineker
RND
Ozkilic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lineker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W5.7W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.3W5.8W7.0L2012-052013-102015-092016-122019-04
WinLossTrend

Ozkilic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.5W5.5L4.0L1.5L2013-122014-012014-072015-05
WinLossTrend

Lineker · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

Ozkilic · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Ben NguyenRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · KO · R3
John LinekerRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
W · Dec · R3
Darren UyenoyamaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12

News & Media

John Lineker · Alptekin Ozkilic
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