UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Perth, Australia
17 Aug 2024
Welterweight
VS
39%
Jingliang
61%
Prates
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:02
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Prates
Prates holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Jingliang has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Prates has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Prates has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jingliang's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jingliang
Prates
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+78"
38
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Jingliang
Prates
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.8
79.6
53.1
Performance Avg
70.6
48
Quality of Victory
59
69
Momentum Score
100
Jingliang
Prates
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
58%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
8 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
26
0
Body
0
10
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance30
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jingliang
Prates
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jingliang
Prates
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
8/31 fights
Jingliang
Prates
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Jingliang
Prates
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jingliang
Prates
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.6
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
JingliangPrates
Strike Zones
Jingliang
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedPrates
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jingliang targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Prates absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Prates targets the head (87% of attacks) — Jingliang absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jingliang
RND
Prates
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Jingliang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Prates · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Jingliang · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
Prates · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Leon EdwardsRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Ian Machado GarryRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11