★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2006
Heavyweight
VS
30%
Sylvia
70%
Arlovski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
TS
Tim Sylvia
"The Maine-iac"
31 – 10
6'8"80" reachOrthodox50 yrsStriker
CFR 21
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
Well-Rounded4-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sylvia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Sylvia throws more volume but Arlovski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Sylvia's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Arlovski has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sylvia
Arlovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'8"+
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
77"
50
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sylvia
Arlovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
49.1
63.7
Performance Avg
50.5
60
Quality of Victory
47
52
Momentum Score
94
Sylvia
Arlovski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
10
0
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sylvia
Arlovski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.1
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sylvia
Arlovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
8
3
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/41 fights
Chin rating based on
42/58 fights
Sylvia
Arlovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
94
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Sylvia
Arlovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
48%
5
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sylvia
Arlovski
Striking6.9 / 5.0Volume4.9 / 5.3Grappling1.1 / 1.9Wrestling0.8 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.9Pressure6.0 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Sylvia
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Sylvia
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Arlovski
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sylvia targets the head (83% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Arlovski targets the head (83% of attacks) — Sylvia absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sylvia
RND
Arlovski
0/0R00/0

Sylvia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W5.0W5.0W1.5L2.2L5.0W4.5W5.7W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W2.8L2002-092005-022006-072008-02
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Sylvia · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
L · Dec · R5
Randy CoutureRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
W · Dec · R5
Jeff MonsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11
W · Dec · R5
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

News & Media

Tim Sylvia · Andrei Arlovski
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