METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Lightweight
VS
97%
Makhachev
3%
Kuntz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:38
★ Official Result
Islam MakhachevwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:38
def. Leo Kuntz · UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makhachev
→
Actual result
Makhachev wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Makhachev is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 72 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Makhachev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Makhachev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakhachevKuntz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makhachev
Kuntz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
34+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Makhachev
Kuntz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.5
2.4
69.8
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Makhachev
Kuntz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.4
60%
Strike Accuracy
29%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Makhachev
Kuntz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
8
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makhachev
Kuntz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Makhachev
Kuntz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
16-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Makhachev
Kuntz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
65%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
8
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makhachev
Kuntz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MakhachevKuntz
Strike Zones
Makhachev
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedKuntz
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (91% of attacks) — Kuntz absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Kuntz targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makhachev
RND
Kuntz
0/0R00/0
Makhachev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Kuntz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Makhachev · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 5.8Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Kuntz · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Tae Hyun BangRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
L · Sub · R2
Islam MakhachevRating 4.7Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05