UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Lightweight
VS
97%
Makhachev
3%
Kuntz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:38
Islam
Islam Makhachev
28 – 1
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrs16-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 75
LK
Leo Kuntz
"The Lion"
18 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Makhachev

Makhachev is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 72 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Makhachev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.

Makhachev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Makhachev
Kuntz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
34+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Makhachev
Kuntz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.5
2.4
69.8
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Makhachev
Kuntz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.4
60%
Strike Accuracy
29%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Makhachev
Kuntz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
8
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makhachev
Kuntz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Makhachev
Kuntz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
16-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Makhachev
Kuntz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
65%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
8
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makhachev
Kuntz
Striking3.6 / 0.0Volume4.7 / 0.0Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.2 / 0.0Submission4.7 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Makhachev
Strike Zones
Kuntz
Makhachev
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Kuntz
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (91% of attacks) — Kuntz absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Kuntz targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Makhachev
RND
Kuntz
0/0R00/0

Makhachev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W6.1W4.5W6.7W5.6W5.9W5.7W6.5W6.0W6.5W6.8W5.8W6.0W2015-052018-072021-102024-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Kuntz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.7L5.5L2015-052015-11
WinLossTrend

Makhachev · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

Kuntz · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Tae Hyun BangRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
L · Sub · R2
Islam MakhachevRating 4.7
Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

News & Media

Islam Makhachev · Leo Kuntz
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