UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
6 Oct 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Preux
54%
Reyes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Reyes
This is a genuine toss-up — Preux at 46% vs Reyes at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reyes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Preux's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reyes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Preux
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
80"+
Reach
77"
43
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Preux
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.7
55.7
50.2
Performance Avg
56.3
48
Quality of Victory
49
72
Momentum Score
71
Preux
Reyes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
9
3
Body
3
0
Leg
11
RangeRange
17Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Preux
Reyes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Preux
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/45 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Preux
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
71
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Preux
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
70%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Preux
Reyes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
PreuxReyes
Strike Zones
Preux
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedReyes
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the head (82% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Preux
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Preux · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Reyes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
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