UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Calgary, Canada
21 Jul 2012
Middleweight
VS
73%
McGee
27%
Ring
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McGee
McGee is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: McGee throws more volume but Ring connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McGee
Ring
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
41+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
McGee
Ring
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
14.5
40.1
Performance Avg
39.0
36
Quality of Victory
32
50
Momentum Score
35
McGee
Ring
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.8
39%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
41
Head
12
7
Body
3
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
51Distance15
2Clinch1
0Ground0
McGee
Ring
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGee
Ring
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
McGee
Ring
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
McGee
Ring
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
Ring
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
McGeeRing
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedRing
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (77% of attacks) — Ring absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Ring targets the head (75% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
Ring
0/0R00/0
McGee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ring · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
McGee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
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Ring · Last 5
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
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