METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
New York City, USA
15 Nov 2025
Welterweight
VS
42%
Edwards
58%
Prates
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:28
★ Official Result
Carlos PrateswinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:28
def. Leon Edwards · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Prates
→
Actual result
Prates wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 42% vs Prates at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Prates has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsPrates
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Edwards
Prates
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+78"
35
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Edwards
Prates
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
79.6
51.1
Performance Avg
70.6
36
Quality of Victory
59
95
Momentum Score
100
Edwards
Prates
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
9.6
7.2
Style: Volume
1.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
0
Body
1
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
5Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Edwards
Prates
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Prates
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
8/31 fights
Edwards
Prates
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Edwards
Prates
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Prates
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.6
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
EdwardsPrates
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedPrates
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Prates absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Prates targets the head (50% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Prates
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Edwards · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R4
Sean BradySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Prates · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Leon EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11