METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Middleweight
VS
44%
Vettori
56%
Ferreira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brunno FerreirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marvin Vettori · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ferreira
→
Actual result
Ferreira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Vettori at 44% vs Ferreira at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ferreira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Ferreira has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VettoriFerreira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Vettori
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
72"
32+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Vettori
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.2
62.7
40.0
Performance Avg
54.8
31
Quality of Victory
51
84
Momentum Score
91
Vettori
Ferreira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
6.2
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
7.6
7.3
Style: Volume
2.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
21
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
30Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Vettori
Ferreira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vettori
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Vettori
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
91
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Vettori
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
83%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vettori
Ferreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
VettoriFerreira
Strike Zones
Vettori
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedFerreira
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vettori targets the head (97% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (95% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vettori
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
Vettori · Last 5
Upcoming
Ismail NaurdievUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
Ferreira · Last 5
Upcoming
Edmen ShahbazyanUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Ikram AliskerovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Jackson McVeySubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07