UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Sao Paulo, Brazil
4 Nov 2023
Lightweight
VS
64%
Fernandes
36%
Diakiese
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fernandes
Fernandes holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Diakiese has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fernandes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Fernandes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diakiese has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fernandes
Diakiese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"
Reach
73"
31+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fernandes
Diakiese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.2
37.3
59.0
Performance Avg
41.2
48
Quality of Victory
33
87
Momentum Score
88
Fernandes
Diakiese
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
41%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
1
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Fernandes
Diakiese
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fernandes
Diakiese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
56
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Fernandes
Diakiese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
88
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Fernandes
Diakiese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fernandes
Diakiese
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
FernandesDiakiese
Strike Zones
Fernandes
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedDiakiese
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fernandes targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Diakiese targets the head (80% of attacks) — Fernandes absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fernandes
RND
Diakiese
0/0R00/0
Fernandes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Diakiese · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Fernandes · Last 4
W · KO · R1
Harry HardwickRating 5KO/TKO
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Kaue FernandesRating 6.1Decision
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