UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
21 Oct 2023
Lightweight
VS
9%
Yahya
91%
Peek
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Peek
Peek is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Peek has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Peek has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Yahya's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Yahya
Peek
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
32
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Switch
Yahya
Peek
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.3
41.9
0.0
Performance Avg
41.5
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
43
Yahya
Peek
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
14
7
Body
6
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance16
1Clinch3
0Ground3
Yahya
Peek
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Yahya
Peek
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Yahya
Peek
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Yahya
Peek
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yahya
Peek
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
YahyaPeek
Strike Zones
Yahya
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedPeek
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the head (50% of attacks) — Peek absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Peek targets the head (64% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yahya
RND
Peek
0/0R00/0
Yahya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Peek · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Yahya · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Steven NguyenRating 4.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Peek · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yanal AshmouzRating 6.4Decision
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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Mohammad YahyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6Decision
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