METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Birmingham, United Kingdom
5 Nov 2011
Bantamweight
VS
47%
Pickett
53%
Barao
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:09
★ Official Result
Renan BaraowinsSubmissionR1 · 4:09
def. Brad Pickett · UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barao
→
Actual result
Barao wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pickett at 47% vs Barao at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Barao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Risk flags
Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barao has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PickettBarao
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pickett
Barao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+70"
47
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pickett
Barao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
15.7
36.4
Performance Avg
59.4
37
Quality of Victory
64
60
Momentum Score
0
Pickett
Barao
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
5.5
5.5
Style: Volume
4.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
29
1
Body
3
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
10Distance33
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Pickett
Barao
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pickett
Barao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
17/43 fights
Pickett
Barao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pickett
Barao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pickett
Barao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
PickettBarao
Strike Zones
Pickett
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedBarao
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (90% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Barao targets the head (78% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pickett
RND
Barao
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pickett · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberDecision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraSubmission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
Barao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Luke SandersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07