UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2016
Welterweight
VS
28%
Hendricks
72%
Thompson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Thompson
Thompson is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Thompson throws more volume but Hendricks connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thompson has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hendricks
Thompson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+75"
42+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hendricks
Thompson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
46.3
48.2
Performance Avg
48.9
39
Quality of Victory
43
80
Momentum Score
45
Hendricks
Thompson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
17
0
Body
6
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance19
3Clinch3
0Ground2
Hendricks
Thompson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hendricks
Thompson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
22/26 fights
Hendricks
Thompson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Hendricks
Thompson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hendricks
Thompson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
HendricksThompson
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedThompson
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Thompson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hendricks
RND
Thompson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hendricks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Thompson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Thompson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12