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UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2016
Welterweight
VS
28%
Hendricks
72%
Thompson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 3:31
JH
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
18 – 8
5'9"69" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
Stephen
Stephen Thompson
"Wonderboy"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 46
β˜… Official Result
Stephen ThompsonwinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 3:31
def. Johny Hendricks Β· UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thompson
β†’
Actual result
Thompson wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

Thompson is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Thompson throws more volume but Hendricks connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Thompson has a chin rating of 32 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HendricksThompson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Hendricks
Thompson
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+75"
42+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hendricks
Thompson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
46.3
48.2
Performance Avg
48.9
39
Quality of Victory
43
80
Momentum Score
45
Hendricks
Thompson
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
17
0
Body
6
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance19
3Clinch3
0Ground2
Hendricks
Thompson
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hendricks
Thompson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
22/26 fights
Hendricks
Thompson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
80
45
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R4
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Hendricks
Thompson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hendricks
Thompson
Striking5.1 / 6.1Volume6.2 / 5.1Grappling1.5 / 1.2Wrestling1.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Hendricks
Strike Zones
Thompson
Hendricks
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY4LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD6BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Thompson
Attacking
17HEAD6BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY4LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the legs (57% of attacks) β€” Thompson absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Thompson targets the head (71% of attacks) β€” Hendricks absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Hendricks
RND
Thompson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hendricks Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.8W5.8L4.9W2.1L5.8L6.1L4.5W2.8L3.8L2009-082011-082014-032017-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Thompson Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.1L6.0W5.5W5.7L6.6L6.0W4.8L5.2L7.2L2012-022015-072019-032023-122025-07
WinLossTrend

Hendricks Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre Β· 2017-11
L Β· KO Β· R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee Β· 2017-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne Β· 2017-02
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey Β· 2016-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes Β· 2016-07

Thompson Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira Β· 2025-07
L Β· KO Β· R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. Β· 2024-10
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Β· 2023-12
W Β· KO Β· R4
Kevin HollandRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland Β· 2022-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus Β· 2021-12

News & Media

Johny Hendricks Β· Stephen Thompson
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