METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Boser
47%
Nascimento
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rodrigo NascimentowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tanner Boser · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Boser
→
Actual result
Nascimento wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Boser at 53% vs Nascimento at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Boser has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Boser has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Boser's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nascimento has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BoserNascimento
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Boser
Nascimento
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
+80"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boser
Nascimento
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
41.9
44.6
Performance Avg
41.5
44
Quality of Victory
31
52
Momentum Score
73
Boser
Nascimento
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
5
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance10
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Boser
Nascimento
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Boser
Nascimento
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/33 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Boser
Nascimento
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
73
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Boser
Nascimento
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Boser
Nascimento
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
BoserNascimento
Strike Zones
Boser
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedNascimento
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Boser targets the head (67% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Nascimento targets the head (92% of attacks) — Boser absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Boser
RND
Nascimento
0/0R00/0
Boser · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Nascimento · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Boser · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Gokhan SaricamRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
W · KO · R2
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
Nascimento · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Derrick LewisRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09