METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Boser
47%
Nascimento
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rodrigo NascimentowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tanner Boser · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Boser
→
Actual result
Nascimento wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Boser at 53% vs Nascimento at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Boser has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Boser's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nascimento has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BoserNascimento
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Boser
Nascimento
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
+80"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boser
Nascimento
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
41.9
44.6
Performance Avg
41.5
44
Quality of Victory
31
52
Momentum Score
73
Boser
Nascimento
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
3.5
4.1
Style: Volume
7.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
5
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance10
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Boser
Nascimento
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Boser
Nascimento
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/33 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Boser
Nascimento
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
73
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Boser
Nascimento
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Boser
Nascimento
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
BoserNascimento
Strike Zones
Boser
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedNascimento
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Boser targets the head (67% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Nascimento targets the head (92% of attacks) — Boser absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Boser
RND
Nascimento
0/0R00/0
Boser · Last 5
Upcoming
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Rodrigo NascimentoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
Nascimento · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovDecision
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Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
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Tanner BoserDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09