UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Boser
47%
Nascimento
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tanner
Tanner Boser
"The Bulldozer"
22 – 11
6'2"75" reachOrthodox34 yrsStriker
CFR 47
Rodrigo
Rodrigo Nascimento
"Ze Colmeia"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'2"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Boser

This is a genuine toss-up — Boser at 53% vs Nascimento at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Boser has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Boser has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Boser's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nascimento has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Boser
Nascimento
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
+80"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boser
Nascimento
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
41.9
44.6
Performance Avg
41.5
44
Quality of Victory
31
52
Momentum Score
73
Boser
Nascimento
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
5
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance10
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Boser
Nascimento
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Boser
Nascimento
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/33 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Boser
Nascimento
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
73
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Boser
Nascimento
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Boser
Nascimento
Striking6.9 / 1.1Volume4.1 / 7.1Grappling1.0 / 3.8Wrestling0.7 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure5.6 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Boser
Strike Zones
Nascimento
Boser
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Nascimento
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Boser targets the head (67% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Nascimento targets the head (92% of attacks) — Boser absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Boser
RND
Nascimento
0/0R00/0

Boser · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W7.2L5.7W5.2W6.2L5.5L5.8W5.8L1.8L4.5W5.0L2019-102020-072021-062023-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Nascimento · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.6W1.8L5.1W4.5W4.8W4.0L6.3L2020-052022-092023-112024-11
WinLossTrend

Boser · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gokhan SaricamRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
W · KO · R2
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

Nascimento · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Derrick LewisRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09

News & Media

Tanner Boser · Rodrigo Nascimento
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