UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Las Vegas, USA
14 Sept 2024
Bantamweight
VS
57%
Jr.
43%
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Raul
Raul Rosas Jr.
"El Nino Problema"
12 – 1
5'9"67" reachSwitch21 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 67
Aoriqileng
Aoriqileng
"The Mongolian Murderer"
26 – 12
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jr.

This is a genuine toss-up — Jr. at 57% vs at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+69"
21+
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.3
50.1
58.1
Performance Avg
45.5
40
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
58
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
4
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
10/38 fights
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
58
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jr.
Striking3.4 / 6.0Volume5.7 / 5.0Grappling3.9 / 1.2Wrestling2.7 / 0.8Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Jr.
Strike Zones
Jr.
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the head (54% of attacks) — absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯 targets the body (100% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jr.
RND
0/0R00/0

Jr. · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W6.1L5.0W5.2W5.3W4.5W5.7W2022-122023-092024-092026-03
WinLossTrend

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.6L5.6L5.0W4.5W2.6L4.5W7.1L5.2W2021-042022-042023-062024-092025-10
WinLossTrend

Jr. · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
AoriqilengRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R2
Ricky TurciosRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Terrence MitchellRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

· Last 5

Upcoming
Cody Haddon
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Cody GibsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 7.1
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Daniel Marcos
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Johnny MunozRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10

News & Media

Raul Rosas Jr. · Aoriqileng
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