METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Las Vegas, USA
14 Sept 2024
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Jr.
40%
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 44
★ Official Result
Raul Rosas Jr.winsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Aoriqileng · UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jr.
→
Actual result
Jr. wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jr. holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Jr.
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+69"
21+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.3
44.4
58.1
Performance Avg
41.5
40
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
58
Jr.
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
4.7
5.7
Style: Volume
4.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
4
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Jr.
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
11/38 fights
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
58
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jr.
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Jr.
Strike Zones
Jr.
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedAttacking
1 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the head (54% of attacks) — absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯 targets the body (100% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jr.
RND
0/0R00/0
Jr. · Last 5
Upcoming
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UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
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