UFC 44: Undisputed
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2003
Lightweight
VS
89%
Thomson
11%
Strebendt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:45
JT
Josh Thomson
"The Punk"
22 – 9
5'10"71" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
GS
Gerald Strebendt
"The Finishing Machine"
9 – 7
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox5'9"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Thomson

Thomson is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Thomson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.

Thomson
Strebendt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thomson
Strebendt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
2.2
45.1
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Thomson
Strebendt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
—
46%
Strike Accuracy
—
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Thomson
Strebendt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thomson
Strebendt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/31 fights
Chin rating based on
1/16 fights
Thomson
Strebendt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Thomson
Strebendt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Thomson
Strebendt
Striking7.5 / 0.0Volume3.5 / 0.0Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Thomson
Strike Zones
Strebendt
Thomson
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Strebendt
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Thomson targets the head (91% of attacks) — Strebendt absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Thomson
RND
Strebendt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Thomson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.5W1.5L5.3W5.5L6.2L6.0L2003-092004-082014-012015-07
WinLossTrend

Thomson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · Dec · R5
Benson HendersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · KO · R2
Nate DiazRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Yves EdwardsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08

Strebendt · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Josh ThomsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 44: Undisputed · 2003-09

News & Media

Josh Thomson · Gerald Strebendt
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