METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Lightweight
VS
23%
Hein
77%
Hadzovic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Damir HadzovicwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nick Hein · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hadzovic
→
Actual result
Hadzovic wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hadzovic is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hadzovic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Hadzovic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hein's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hadzovic has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HeinHadzovic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hein
Hadzovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+70"
42
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hein
Hadzovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.7
35.9
35.0
Performance Avg
39.2
25
Quality of Victory
39
20
Momentum Score
20
Hein
Hadzovic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.3
38%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
24
1
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance26
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Hein
Hadzovic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hein
Hadzovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/19 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Hein
Hadzovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hein
Hadzovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hein
Hadzovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
HeinHadzovic
Strike Zones
Hein
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedHadzovic
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hein targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hadzovic absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Hadzovic targets the head (83% of attacks) — Hein absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hein
RND
Hadzovic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hein · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Hadzovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Hein · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Frank CamachoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Sub · R1
Davi RamosRating 1.5Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Tae Hyun BangRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
W · Dec · R3
Yusuke KasuyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Hadzovic · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Yancy MedeirosRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06