UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2024
Middleweight
VS
56%
Allen
44%
Curtis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Brendan
Brendan Allen
"All In"
26 – 7
6'2"75" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Chris
Chris Curtis
"Action-Man"
32 – 13
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'10"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Allen

This is a genuine toss-up — Allen at 56% vs Curtis at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Curtis throws more volume but Allen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Allen's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Allen
Curtis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
75"
30+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Curtis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.8
49.5
56.8
Performance Avg
46.3
43
Quality of Victory
41
88
Momentum Score
54
Allen
Curtis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
17
2
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance20
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Allen
Curtis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Allen
Curtis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
12/45 fights
Allen
Curtis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
54
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Allen
Curtis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
7
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen
Curtis
Striking3.0 / 6.1Volume4.4 / 5.1Grappling4.9 / 1.2Wrestling3.4 / 0.8Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Allen
Strike Zones
Curtis
Allen
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD4BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Curtis
Attacking
17HEAD4BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (77% of attacks) — Curtis absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Curtis targets the head (81% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Allen
RND
Curtis
0/0R00/0

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.8W5.0W5.1W3.9L5.0W5.5W3.5L5.2W5.5W5.0W6.4W6.3W6.0W5.2W6.9L6.9L5.3W6.4W2019-102021-072023-022025-022025-10
WinLossTrend

Curtis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0105.0W6.6W5.8W6.4L6.4W5.8L4.5W6.8L5.0L5.1W7.1L2021-112022-072024-012025-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Allen · Last 5

Upcoming
Edmen Shahbazyan
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de RidderRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Curtis · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Brendan AllenRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Brendan Allen · Chris Curtis
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