UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Vera
46%
Marshall
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BV
Brandon Vera
"The Truth"
15 – 7
6'3"78" reachOrthodox48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
EM
Eliot Marshall
"Fire"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vera

This is a genuine toss-up — Vera at 54% vs Marshall at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Vera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Vera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Vera's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Vera
Marshall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
77"
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vera
Marshall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
16.5
48.3
Performance Avg
40.8
45
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
65
Vera
Marshall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
27%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
1
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
4Clinch2
3Ground4
Vera
Marshall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vera
Marshall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Vera
Marshall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Vera
Marshall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vera
Marshall
Striking6.1 / 1.0Volume4.1 / 6.3Grappling1.9 / 4.3Wrestling1.3 / 3.0Submission1.3 / 3.3Pressure6.0 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Vera
Strike Zones
Marshall
Vera
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY4LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Marshall
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY4LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vera targets the head (44% of attacks) — Marshall absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Marshall targets the head (78% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vera
RND
Marshall
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L3.3L4.5W3.4L4.0L2005-102007-102009-032011-102013-08
WinLossTrend

Marshall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L2008-122009-042009-092010-032011-032011-10
WinLossTrend

Vera · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Ben RothwellRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R4
Mauricio RuaRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Upcoming
Thiago Silva
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03

Marshall · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

News & Media

Brandon Vera · Eliot Marshall
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