UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Middleweight
VS
45%
Dumas
55%
Fremd
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fremd
This is a genuine toss-up — Dumas at 45% vs Fremd at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Fremd has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Dumas throws more volume but Fremd connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Dumas's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fremd has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dumas
Fremd
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
79"+
Reach
76"
30+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dumas
Fremd
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.6
33.1
30.0
Performance Avg
35.7
25
Quality of Victory
37
35
Momentum Score
25
Dumas
Fremd
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.7
32%
Strike Accuracy
39%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dumas
Fremd
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dumas
Fremd
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Dumas
Fremd
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
25
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Dumas
Fremd
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dumas
Fremd
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
DumasFremd
Strike Zones
Dumas
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedFremd
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dumas targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Fremd absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Fremd targets the head (83% of attacks) — Dumas absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dumas
RND
Fremd
0/0R00/0
Dumas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Fremd · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Dumas · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jackson McVeyRating 2.5Submission
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