METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Women's Bantamweight
VS
66%
McMann
34%
Reneau
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:40
MR
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Marion ReneauwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:40
def. Sara McMann · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McMann
→
Actual result
Reneau wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
McMann holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Reneau has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
McMann's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reneau has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McMannReneau
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McMann
Reneau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+68"
45+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMann
Reneau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
14.9
44.1
Performance Avg
44.1
38
Quality of Victory
46
92
Momentum Score
15
McMann
Reneau
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
6.8
5.7
Style: Volume
2.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
21
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance9
3Clinch1
0Ground11
McMann
Reneau
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McMann
Reneau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
McMann
Reneau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
15
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
McMann
Reneau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McMann
Reneau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
McMannReneau
Strike Zones
McMann
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedReneau
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McMann targets the head (50% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Reneau targets the head (100% of attacks) — McMann absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McMann
RND
Reneau
0/0R00/0
McMann · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
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L · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R2
Marion ReneauSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Sub · R2
Ketlen VieiraSubmission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07