METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2024
Middleweight
VS
7%
Budka
93%
Almeida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:13
★ Official Result
Cesar AlmeidawinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:13
def. Dylan Budka · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almeida
→
Actual result
Almeida wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Almeida is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Risk flags
Budka's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BudkaAlmeida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Budka
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
26+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Budka
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.9
49.3
0.0
Performance Avg
48.0
0
Quality of Victory
47
0
Momentum Score
38
Budka
Almeida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
7.7
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
6.2
0.0
Style: Volume
3.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
21
0
Body
7
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance6
0Clinch19
0Ground3
Budka
Almeida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Budka
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/9 fights
Budka
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
38
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Budka
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Budka
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
BudkaAlmeida
Strike Zones
Budka
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (75% of attacks) — Budka absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Budka
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
Budka · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Cesar AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Almeida · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Damian PinasKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezary OleksiejczukDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Ihor PotieriaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06