UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2024
Middleweight
VS
7%
Budka
93%
Almeida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Almeida
Almeida is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Budka's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Budka
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
26+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Budka
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.3
57.1
0.0
Performance Avg
52.0
0
Quality of Victory
47
0
Momentum Score
58
Budka
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
1.1
16%
Strike Accuracy
59%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
21
0
Body
7
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance6
0Clinch19
0Ground3
Budka
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Budka
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/9 fights
Budka
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
58
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Budka
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Budka
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
BudkaAlmeida
Strike Zones
Budka
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (75% of attacks) — Budka absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Budka
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
Budka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Budka · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Cesar AlmeidaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Almeida · Last 5
Upcoming
Damian PinasUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezary OleksiejczukRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Ihor PotieriaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06