UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2016
Welterweight
VS
67%
Kim
33%
Saffiedine
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kim
Kim holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Saffiedine has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Saffiedine throws more volume but Kim connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Kim's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kim
Saffiedine
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Kim
Saffiedine
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
10.1
52.3
Performance Avg
28.3
36
Quality of Victory
25
99
Momentum Score
25
Kim
Saffiedine
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
2
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance9
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Kim
Saffiedine
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kim
Saffiedine
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Kim
Saffiedine
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
25
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Kim
Saffiedine
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kim
Saffiedine
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
KimSaffiedine
Strike Zones
Kim
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSaffiedine
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kim targets the head (70% of attacks) — Saffiedine absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Saffiedine targets the head (69% of attacks) — Kim absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kim
RND
Saffiedine
0/0R00/0
Kim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Saffiedine · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Kim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Dominic WatersRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
Saffiedine · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
L · KO · R3
Rory MacDonaldRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10