UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
Las Vegas, USA
28 May 2011
Middleweight
VS
52%
Grove
48%
Boetsch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grove
This is a genuine toss-up — Grove at 52% vs Boetsch at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Grove has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Grove's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Grove
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grove
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
16.6
53.6
Performance Avg
46.0
53
Quality of Victory
43
52
Momentum Score
69
Grove
Boetsch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
57%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
2
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch1
1Ground2
Grove
Boetsch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grove
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/40 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Grove
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Grove
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grove
Boetsch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
GroveBoetsch
Strike Zones
Grove
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBoetsch
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grove targets the body (67% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the body (75% of attacks) — Grove absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grove
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0
Grove · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Boetsch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Grove · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
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UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
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W · KO · R1
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