UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Welterweight
VS
43%
Pereira
57%
Williams
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Williams
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 43% vs Williams at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Williams throws more volume but Pereira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pereira
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+77"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
63.7
50.5
Performance Avg
54.6
40
Quality of Victory
49
39
Momentum Score
87
Pereira
Williams
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
3
Body
4
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
9Distance19
3Clinch2
2Ground0
Pereira
Williams
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/46 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Pereira
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
87
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Pereira
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
PereiraWilliams
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (79% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (43% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
Shara MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Williams · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Andreas GustafssonRating 5.7Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

