METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Welterweight
VS
43%
Pereira
57%
Williams
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michel PereirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Khaos Williams · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Williams
→
Actual result
Pereira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 43% vs Williams at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Williams throws more volume but Pereira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PereiraWilliams
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pereira
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+77"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
63.7
50.5
Performance Avg
54.6
40
Quality of Victory
49
39
Momentum Score
87
Pereira
Williams
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
2.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
3
Body
4
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
9Distance19
3Clinch2
2Ground0
Pereira
Williams
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/46 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Pereira
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
87
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Pereira
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
PereiraWilliams
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (79% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (43% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
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