METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
23 Jul 2022
Featherweight
VS
45%
Amirkhani
55%
Pearce
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:10
★ Official Result
Jonathan PearcewinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:10
def. Makwan Amirkhani · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pearce
→
Actual result
Pearce wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Amirkhani at 45% vs Pearce at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Amirkhani's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pearce has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AmirkhaniPearce
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Amirkhani
Pearce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"+
Reach
71"
37
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Amirkhani
Pearce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.2
44.8
47.6
Performance Avg
47.4
46
Quality of Victory
42
56
Momentum Score
56
Amirkhani
Pearce
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
5.9
3.3
Style: Volume
4.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
32
0
Body
9
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground31
Amirkhani
Pearce
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
5.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Amirkhani
Pearce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Amirkhani
Pearce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Amirkhani
Pearce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Amirkhani
Pearce
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
AmirkhaniPearce
Strike Zones
Amirkhani
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedPearce
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Amirkhani targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pearce absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pearce targets the head (73% of attacks) — Amirkhani absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Amirkhani
RND
Pearce
0/0R00/0
Amirkhani · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreSubmission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jonathan PearceKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike GrundySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Lerone MurphyKO/TKO
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Kamuela KirkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
Pearce · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Joanderson BritoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07