UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
23 Jul 2022
Featherweight
VS
45%
Amirkhani
55%
Pearce
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:10
MA
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
17 – 9
5'10"72" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Jonathan
Jonathan Pearce
"JSP"
14 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsSwitch71" reach6'0"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pearce

This is a genuine toss-up — Amirkhani at 45% vs Pearce at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pearce has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Amirkhani's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pearce has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Amirkhani
Pearce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"+
Reach
71"
37
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Amirkhani
Pearce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.2
44.8
47.6
Performance Avg
47.4
46
Quality of Victory
42
56
Momentum Score
56
Amirkhani
Pearce
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
32
0
Body
9
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground31
Amirkhani
Pearce
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Amirkhani
Pearce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Amirkhani
Pearce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Amirkhani
Pearce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Amirkhani
Pearce
Striking2.4 / 5.1Volume3.3 / 4.3Grappling5.3 / 2.6Wrestling3.7 / 1.8Submission5.7 / 2.0Pressure6.5 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Amirkhani
Strike Zones
Pearce
Amirkhani
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD9BODY3LEGS44 absorbed
Pearce
Attacking
32HEAD9BODY3LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Amirkhani targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pearce absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pearce targets the head (73% of attacks) — Amirkhani absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Amirkhani
RND
Pearce
0/0R00/0

Amirkhani · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W4.5W6.9L4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W6.0L5.5L4.3L5.0W3.2L3.5L2015-012018-052020-102022-072023-03
WinLossTrend

Pearce · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L5.4W5.2W5.1W5.3W5.0W4.3L6.3L2.5L2019-102022-022023-112024-10
WinLossTrend

Amirkhani · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike GrundyRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Lerone MurphyRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Kamuela KirkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06

Pearce · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Joanderson BritoRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

News & Media

Makwan Amirkhani · Jonathan Pearce
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