METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Boston, USA
18 Jan 2015
Featherweight
VS
83%
McGregor
17%
Siver
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:54
★ Official Result
Conor McGregorwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:54
def. Dennis Siver · UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGregor
→
Actual result
McGregor wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
McGregor is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGregor has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Risk flags
McGregor's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Siver has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McGregorSiver
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McGregor
Siver
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
74"+
Reach
70"
38+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McGregor
Siver
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.5
14.3
67.0
Performance Avg
46.1
67
Quality of Victory
37
85
Momentum Score
43
McGregor
Siver
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.3
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
7.6
Style: Pressure
4.7
2.9
Style: Volume
5.9
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance5
0Clinch0
7Ground0
McGregor
Siver
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McGregor
Siver
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
21/34 fights
McGregor
Siver
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
McGregor
Siver
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
42%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGregor
Siver
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
McGregorSiver
Strike Zones
McGregor
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSiver
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGregor targets the head (95% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Siver targets the legs (60% of attacks) — McGregor absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGregor
RND
Siver
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McGregor · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · R1
Dustin PoirierUFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierKO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Sub · R4
Khabib NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Siver · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Tatsuya KawajiriDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Upcoming
Manvel GamburyanUFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12