METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Boston, USA
18 Jan 2015
Featherweight
VS
84%
McGregor
16%
Siver
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:54
★ Official Result
Conor McGregorwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:54
def. Dennis Siver · UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGregor
→
Actual result
McGregor wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
McGregor is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 60 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGregor has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
McGregor has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McGregor's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Siver has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McGregorSiver
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McGregor
Siver
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
74"+
Reach
70"
38+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McGregor
Siver
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.4
14.3
68.9
Performance Avg
46.1
67
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
43
McGregor
Siver
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
1.5
56%
Strike Accuracy
34%
9.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
8 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance5
0Clinch0
7Ground0
McGregor
Siver
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGregor
Siver
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
21/34 fights
McGregor
Siver
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
McGregor
Siver
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
42%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGregor
Siver
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
McGregorSiver
Strike Zones
McGregor
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSiver
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGregor targets the head (95% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Siver targets the legs (60% of attacks) — McGregor absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGregor
RND
Siver
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McGregor · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Siver · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
McGregor · Last 5
Upcoming
Max HollowayUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 5.3UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Sub · R4
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 3.4Submission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Siver · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Upcoming
Manvel GamburyanUFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12