METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Houston, USA
7 Aug 2021
Bantamweight
VS
91%
Morales
9%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Vince MoraleswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Drako Rodriguez · UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Morales
→
Actual result
Morales wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Morales is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Morales has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Morales connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Morales's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoralesRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Morales
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
35
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morales
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.6
3.3
32.0
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Morales
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
2.0
38%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
21
8
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
28Distance21
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Morales
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morales
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Morales
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Morales
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morales
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MoralesRodriguez
Strike Zones
Morales
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (71% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (88% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morales
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Morales · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Morales · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Colby ThicknesseRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Elijah SmithRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
Rodriguez · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
L · KO · R1
Aiemann ZahabiRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02