UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
Las Vegas, USA
1 May 2021
Featherweight
VS
49%
Sanders
51%
Colares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Colares
This is a genuine toss-up — Sanders at 49% vs Colares at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sanders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Sanders throws more volume but Colares connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sanders's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanders
Colares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
40
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sanders
Colares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
16.4
41.8
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
30
Sanders
Colares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
24
7
Body
13
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
36Distance37
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Sanders
Colares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanders
Colares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Sanders
Colares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Sanders
Colares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanders
Colares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
SandersColares
Strike Zones
Sanders
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedColares
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanders targets the head (76% of attacks) — Colares absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Colares targets the head (65% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanders
RND
Colares
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sanders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Colares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Sanders · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Felipe ColaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Nate ManessRating 3.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
W · KO · R2
Renan BaraoRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Patrick WilliamsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
Colares · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Chase HooperRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Luke SandersRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
W · Dec · R3
Domingo PilarteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07