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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
Las Vegas, USA
1 May 2021
Featherweight
VS
49%
Sanders
51%
Colares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LS
Luke Sanders
"Cool Hand"
135
5'6"67" reachSouthpaw40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
FC
Felipe Colares
"Cabocao"
104
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Felipe ColareswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Luke Sanders · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Colares
Actual result
Colares wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Sanders at 49% vs Colares at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sanders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Risk flags

Sanders's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SandersColares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Sanders
Colares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
40
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sanders
Colares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
16.4
41.8
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
30
Sanders
Colares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
1.0
3.4
Style: Volume
8.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
24
7
Body
13
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
36Distance37
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Sanders
Colares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sanders
Colares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Sanders
Colares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Sanders
Colares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sanders
Colares
Striking4.1 / 0.7Volume3.4 / 8.7Grappling3.5 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Sanders
Strike Zones
Colares
Sanders
Attacking
28HEAD7BODY2LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD13BODY0LEGS37 absorbed
Colares
Attacking
24HEAD13BODY0LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD7BODY2LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sanders targets the head (76% of attacks) — Colares absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Colares targets the head (65% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sanders
RND
Colares
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Sanders · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Felipe Colares
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Nate Maness
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
W · KO · R2
Renan Barao
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani Yahya
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Patrick Williams
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

Colares · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Chase Hooper
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris Gutierrez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Luke Sanders
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Montel Jackson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
W · Dec · R3
Domingo Pilarte
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07

News & Media

Luke Sanders · Felipe Colares
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