METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Lightweight
VS
27%
Gouti
73%
Haqparast
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nasrat HaqparastwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Thibault Gouti · UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Haqparast
→
Actual result
Haqparast wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Haqparast is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gouti has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Gouti's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Haqparast has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GoutiHaqparast
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gouti
Haqparast
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Gouti
Haqparast
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
43.5
42.7
Performance Avg
43.9
60
Quality of Victory
32
33
Momentum Score
59
Gouti
Haqparast
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
3.3
0.3
Style: Volume
7.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
42
3
Body
12
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance22
0Clinch13
0Ground22
Gouti
Haqparast
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gouti
Haqparast
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
16/24 fights
Gouti
Haqparast
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Gouti
Haqparast
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gouti
Haqparast
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
GoutiHaqparast
Strike Zones
Gouti
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
57 absorbedHaqparast
Attacking
57 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gouti targets the head (77% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Haqparast targets the head (74% of attacks) — Gouti absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gouti
RND
Haqparast
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gouti · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastDecision
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L · Sub · R3
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