UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
16 Jan 2021
Featherweight
VS
9%
Kilburn
91%
Lingo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JK
Jacob Kilburn
"The Killer"
8 – 4
5'9"72" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
AL
Austin Lingo
"Lights Out"
9 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lingo

Lingo is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lingo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Kilburn throws more volume but Lingo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Kilburn
Lingo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
70"
30+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kilburn
Lingo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
23.5
0.0
Performance Avg
31.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
25
Kilburn
Lingo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
35%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
21
2
Body
3
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
22Distance25
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Kilburn
Lingo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kilburn
Lingo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Kilburn
Lingo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kilburn
Lingo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kilburn
Lingo
Striking0.0 / 0.8Volume0.0 / 8.8Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 1.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Kilburn
Strike Zones
Lingo
Kilburn
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY5LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY1LEGS25 absorbed
Lingo
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY1LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY5LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kilburn targets the head (71% of attacks) — Lingo absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Lingo targets the head (84% of attacks) — Kilburn absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kilburn
RND
Lingo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Kilburn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0103.9L5.5L2019-122021-01
WinLossTrend

Lingo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.5L4.5W4.5W3.5L6.7L2020-022021-012021-082023-032023-07
WinLossTrend

Kilburn · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Austin LingoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Sub · R2
Billy QuarantilloRating 3.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12

Lingo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Nate LandwehrRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Luis SaldanaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Jacob KilburnRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02

News & Media

Jacob Kilburn · Austin Lingo
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