METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Sao Paulo, Brazil
22 Sept 2018
Lightweight
VS
66%
Trinaldo
34%
Dunham
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:10
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:10
def. Evan Dunham · UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Trinaldo holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Dunham has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Trinaldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoDunham
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
+44
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Trinaldo
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
16.2
48.6
Performance Avg
40.1
35
Quality of Victory
30
100
Momentum Score
100
Trinaldo
Dunham
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
2.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
4
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance10
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Dunham
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Trinaldo
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Trinaldo
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
18%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Dunham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
TrinaldoDunham
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedDunham
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (69% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the head (82% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09