UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 May 2019
Welterweight
VS
52%
Alves
48%
Staropoli
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TA
Thiago Alves
"Pitbull"
23 – 15
5'9"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
LS
Laureano Staropoli
"Pepi"
9 – 5
Well-Rounded4-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox71" reach6'1"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alves

This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 52% vs Staropoli at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alves has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Alves has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alves
Staropoli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Staropoli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
15.1
47.3
Performance Avg
28.3
42
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
10
Alves
Staropoli
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
34%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
17
1
Body
5
12
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance22
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Alves
Staropoli
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alves
Staropoli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Alves
Staropoli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Alves
Staropoli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alves
Staropoli
Striking5.8 / 0.7Volume4.3 / 8.7Grappling1.5 / 2.4Wrestling1.0 / 1.7Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure5.4 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Alves
Strike Zones
Staropoli
Alves
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY12LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD5BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Staropoli
Attacking
17HEAD5BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY12LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (55% of attacks) — Staropoli absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Staropoli targets the head (77% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alves
RND
Staropoli
0/0R00/0

Alves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W4.2W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W4.4L5.9L4.5W2.8L5.5L5.1W5.5L1.6L2005-102007-112011-052017-042019-12
WinLossTrend

Staropoli · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W4.5W6.5L5.6L6.9L5.5L2018-112019-052019-102020-082021-062021-10
WinLossTrend

Alves · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

Staropoli · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05

News & Media

Thiago Alves · Laureano Staropoli
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