UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
Kallang, Singapore
26 Oct 2019
Heavyweight
VS
81%
Pessoa
19%
Hughes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RP
Raphael Pessoa
"Bebezao"
10 – 2
6'3"78" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 11
JH
Jeff Hughes
"Lights Out"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pessoa

Pessoa is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pessoa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Hughes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pessoa's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pessoa
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
77"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pessoa
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.5
2.4
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Pessoa
Hughes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
23%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
1
Body
3
4
Leg
8
RangeRange
8Distance13
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Pessoa
Hughes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pessoa
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Pessoa
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Pessoa
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pessoa
Hughes
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume8.7 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Pessoa
Strike Zones
Hughes
Pessoa
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY4LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY8LEGS14 absorbed
Hughes
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY8LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY4LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pessoa targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hughes targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Pessoa absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pessoa
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pessoa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0103.2L4.5W3.4L2019-082019-102020-07
WinLossTrend

Hughes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.5L5.5L1.5L2019-032019-102020-09
WinLossTrend

Pessoa · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Jeff HughesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08

Hughes · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Juan EspinoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Raphael PessoaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
Upcoming
Todd Duffee
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

News & Media

Raphael Pessoa · Jeff Hughes
← Back to fights