METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Bantamweight
VS
82%
Perez
18%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alex PerezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mark De La Rosa · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Perez
→
Actual result
Perez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Perez is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Perez's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rosa has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PerezRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Perez
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
65"
Reach
65"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
13.0
51.2
Performance Avg
33.8
50
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
33
Perez
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
4.4
3.1
Style: Volume
4.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
1
Body
0
11
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground2
Perez
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Perez
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Perez
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perez
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
PerezRosa
Strike Zones
Perez
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedRosa
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the legs (85% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perez
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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