UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
12 May 2018
Heavyweight
VS
61%
Oleinik
39%
Albini
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:45
AO
Aleksei Oleinik
"The Boa Constrictor"
60 – 17
6'2"80" reachOrthodox48 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 27
JA
Junior Albini
"Baby"
14 – 6
Knockout Artist4-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'3"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oleinik

Oleinik holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Albini has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Albini has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oleinik's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Albini has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Oleinik
Albini
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
80"+
Reach
74"
48
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oleinik
Albini
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
16.9
52.0
Performance Avg
44.0
51
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
39
Oleinik
Albini
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
2
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance9
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Oleinik
Albini
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oleinik
Albini
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
42
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/77 fights
Chin rating based on
5/20 fights
Oleinik
Albini
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Oleinik
Albini
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oleinik
Albini
Striking2.2 / 10.0Volume1.9 / 0.4Grappling6.5 / 0.0Wrestling4.5 / 0.0Submission7.8 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
6.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Oleinik
Strike Zones
Albini
Oleinik
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Albini
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oleinik targets the head (60% of attacks) — Albini absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Albini targets the head (70% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oleinik
RND
Albini
0/0R00/0

Oleinik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.7L5.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W4.5W3.3L1.8L6.0L5.0W5.5L2014-062017-112020-012022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Albini · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0105.0W6.2L1.5L3.8L1.5L2017-072017-112018-052019-022019-06
WinLossTrend

Oleinik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5
Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

Albini · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Maurice GreeneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
W · KO · R1
Timothy JohnsonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07

News & Media

Aleksei Oleinik · Junior Albini
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