UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch
Pittsburgh, USA
16 Sept 2017
Welterweight
VS
81%
Perry
19%
Reyes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Perry
Perry is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perry has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Striking split: Reyes throws more volume but Perry connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Perry's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reyes has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Perry
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perry
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
3.9
44.4
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Perry
Reyes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
0
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
6Clinch3
1Ground0
Perry
Reyes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perry
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Perry
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Perry
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perry
Reyes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PerryReyes
Strike Zones
Perry
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedReyes
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perry targets the head (91% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the body (67% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perry
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Perry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Reyes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Perry · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
Reyes · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanRating 7Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Charlie CampbellRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · KO · R1
Mike PerryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09