★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 33 Welterweight Tournament
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
San Antonio, USA
13 Sept 2025
Ultimate Fighter 33 Welterweight Tournament
VS
7%
Sezinando
93%
Donchenko
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:27
Rodrigo
Rodrigo Sezinando
9 – 2
5'9"71" reachOrthodox28 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 6
Daniil
Daniil Donchenko
14 – 2
Volume Striker2-fight win streak24 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 80

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Donchenko

Donchenko is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 74 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Donchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 63 points.

Striking split: Sezinando throws more volume but Donchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Sezinando
Donchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
28
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sezinando
Donchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.2
80.4
0.0
Performance Avg
77.5
0
Quality of Victory
63
0
Momentum Score
100
Sezinando
Donchenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.0
2.3
28%
Strike Accuracy
56%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
29
3
Body
8
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance23
3Clinch6
0Ground10
Sezinando
Donchenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sezinando
Donchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Sezinando
Donchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Sezinando
Donchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sezinando
Donchenko
Striking0.0 / 7.0Volume0.0 / 6.0Grappling0.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Sezinando
Strike Zones
Donchenko
Sezinando
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD8BODY2LEGS39 absorbed
Donchenko
Attacking
29HEAD8BODY2LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sezinando targets the head (70% of attacks) — Donchenko absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Donchenko targets the head (74% of attacks) — Sezinando absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sezinando
RND
Donchenko
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Donchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.5W2025-092026-02
WinLossTrend

Sezinando · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Daniil DonchenkoRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

Donchenko · Last 3

Upcoming
Andreas Gustafsson
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Rodrigo SezinandoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

News & Media

Rodrigo Sezinando · Daniil Donchenko
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